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無雙直傳 | 4th Apr 2006, 17:18 PM | 英文文章 | (900 Reads)
5.What do you expect will be the character of the twenty-first century?Peaceful?War-prone?0rderly?Chaotic?Why do you have the expectations you do , and what clues from the unfolding of events in the world might tell you whether your guesses were correct?

 

5.What do you expect will be the character of the twenty-first century?Peaceful?War-prone?0rderly?Chaotic?Why do you have the expectations you do , and what clues from the unfolding of events in the world might tell you whether your guesses were correct?
 
   It is an unpredictable world in the Twenty-First Century as it is always in transition. Is it peaceful? It is in anti-terror war. Is it war-prone? The anti-terror war is not a traditional war, no battlefront, no safe place, no explicit enemies, indeed you cannot even feel the war until suicide bomber detonates his exploder. Is it orderly? The world is niether in a form of monopole nor multi-pole system. It is now in the situation between transition and uncertainty. Is it chaotic? It is not in traditional war times. The World‘s economy is prosperous because of the globalization and communication. International cooperation is far common than the cold war era. Therefore, the world is unpredictable.
 
   Science and technology is being developing fast to drive the change of social and living style enormously. Not only in developing countries but also developed countries societal systems, like education, medical care, social welfare, wealth distribution, even political systems cannot adapt to the prompt and frequent transition of the world.
 
  In the spiritual area, the traditional moral is collapsed but the new one is not being built up. Homosexuality is legitimacy or not? Genetically modified organism is right or wrong? Euthanasia is humanity or not? No one can answer because the traditional moral authority is broken down but consensus is not established. Moreover, intemperate hylicism and over emphasized economy development make the problem worse.
 
  As a result, it explains the large number of diplomatic disputes, international demonstrations and internal dissatisfaction in countries, which the underlining factors are unpredictable and no standard. On the surface, the world is peaceful and orderly but behind the scene, it is war-prone( this is mean new war form and not the traditional hot or cold war) and chaotic. What is the trend? I think it is unpredictable now.